了解AI 玩转AI Can AI replace human jobs and cause a large number of workers to lose their jobs?

AI technologies cannot be lumped together. For now, we divide AI into chatbots, image generation, video generation, and voice generation. Their capabilities are different, and their roles are clearly divided; they need to be explained separately.

First, what chatbots can do is mechanized work, such as reviewing spreadsheets, writing first drafts, doing calculations, and analyzing images—but that is all. In this process, what they can replace is outdated, mechanized content, whereas a large amount of the main work in our lives is innovative and multidisciplinary work. Chatbots can often only provide ideas and preliminary content.

Image generation is very different from chatbots. Image generation can replace the work of a large number of designers. Creating images requires imagination, and image generation also has it—in some respects it even understands things more clearly than humans. You can also communicate with it more efficiently, and it can give efficient feedback. For example, if you are a cup manufacturer and need to shoot promotional images for suppliers, you only need to shoot one set of initial images; it can present the remaining decorative effects better than an average designer, because its knowledge is learned based on the works of excellent international designers, and its iteration time is only one year. Can you guarantee that most people can surpass the level of these people within a year? Even if you cannot express your abstract ideas well, if you draw a sketch for it, it can draw what you want within seconds; if it does not match, ask for another one. Website design, icon design, logo design, tattoo design, interior design, renovation design, photographer work—it can do any design~

Video generation must be discussed in two parts. Videos can be divided into two types: one is rigorous and needs clear and accurate expression, including emotion, facial expressions, actions, etc.; the other is entertainment-oriented and needs to be more cheerful. The latter is very easy to produce and easy for AI to achieve; the former is actually not that difficult anymore. Judging from the sample videos currently released by OPENAI, they are cinematic-level. Video can be generated from descriptive text, but its performance still needs further observation. This is currently the strongest technology, but it will take several months before it can be tried. I think it is completely different from runwaygen2 pika; the technology is on another level, with no one close. Perhaps in a few months it will be a surprise, and everyone can become a director. If this effect can be achieved, then many things will change: photographers will basically be directly replaced, shooting by the entire crew will basically be gone, and the post-production team will only need to adjust and optimize. If it is entertainment content, one person can handle it; with a little effort, one movie a day may be done casually.

Voice generation goes without saying. Current voiceover content is basically no different in effect from real human speech. The key is that voices can now be cloned and can express emotion, so if you want a unique voice, imitating a celebrity or your own voice is enough—even music. At present, several big companies can do original generation, but it is still quite rudimentary; I do not know much about this part, but someone has already released original music on NetEase Cloud Music.

In summary, AI will indeed replace many people's jobs. The emergence of a great technology is an extraordinary revolution, just like the first steam engine, which replaced pumping water, textile production, farming, handcraft, and so on; the first car replaced horse-drawn carriages. People on horseback laughed when they saw the first car, but they were also pitiful—just as many people may spend half a lifetime learning PS, photography, and animation, only to be directly replaced by AI in the end.

If you are this kind of person, do not be discouraged. What you need to do is master this ability, transition from technical work to advanced technical work, and become the one in control. You are not unemployed; it is your colleagues who are unemployed. You can produce more efficiently and with higher quality.